Posted February 03, 2014

Super Bowl XLIX odds: Seahawks open as favorites to win 2014 title

NFC West, Seattle Seahawks, Super Bowl XLIX
No team has repeated as champions since the Patriots did it in 2004 and '05.

No team has repeated as champions since the Patriots did it in 2004 and ’05. (John Biever/SI)

It’s never too early to look ahead to next season.

Hours after the Seattle Seahawks defeated the Denver Broncos in Super Bowl XLVIII, oddsmakers deemed Seattle the favorite to win the 2014 title. The Seahawks opened at 9/2 odds (via Bovada.lv), followed by the San Francisco 49ers (15/2) and the Broncos (8/1). The teams with the longest odds: the Jacksonville Jaguars (100/1), Oakland Raiders, Minnesota Vikings and Buffalo Bills (all at 75/1).

Even with a young, talented squad largely under contract for next season, the Seahawks do face questions this offseason. Michael Bennett, who led the team with 8.5 sacks, is poised to be a free agent, and the team faces cap questions with Cliff Avril and Chris Clemons.

No team has repeated as champions since the Patriots did it in 2004 and ’05. In the last 12 years, six champions have failed to make the postseason the following season.

Find the complete odds from Bovada below.

Seattle Seahawks — 9/2
San Francisco 49ers – 15/2
Denver Broncos – 8/1
New England Patriots – 14/1
Green Bay Packers – 16/1
New Orleans Saints – 18/1
Atlanta Falcons – 25/1
Carolina Panthers – 25/1
Chicago Bears – 25/1
Cincinnati Bengals – 25/1
Philadelphia Eagles – 25/1
Indianapolis Colts – 28/1
Kansas City Chiefs – 28/1
Arizona Cardinals – 33/1
Dallas Cowboys – 33/1
Detroit Lions – 33/1
New York Giants – 33/1
Pittsburgh Steelers – 33/1
San Diego Chargers – 33/1
Baltimore Ravens – 40/1
Houston Texans – 40/1
St. Louis Rams – 40/1
Washington Redskins – 40/1
Miami Dolphins – 50/1
New York Jets – 50/1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers – 50/1
Tennessee Titans – 50/1
Cleveland Browns – 66/1
Buffalo Bills – 75/1
Minnesota Vikings – 75/1
Oakland Raiders – 75/1
Jacksonville Jaguars – 100/1

58 comments
racy0057
racy0057

The chances of a team returning to the Superbowl, is likely lower than having 2 new teams (at least one).  I'm not saying that it can't or won't happen, but it is a rarity in the modern NFL.  I actually think the Broncos have a better chance of returning (not necessarily winning), due to the AFC not having as many top teams as the NFC.  The Seahawks have allot of competition within their own division, let alone, teams that can always make a run like the Packers, Saints, Carolina or a team out of the NFC East.  


There will also be the normal 4 or 5 teams that come out of nowhere and those who under-perform.  In the AFC, there is still the Patriots, who can never be counted out and teams like Indy and Kansas City who are on the rise and who are young teams who should only improve, as well as San Diego, Cincinnati and maybe even Miami (not real confident on that pick), so Denver certainly isn't a lock, especially with 2 playoff teams in their own division.  


We could also see the perennial powerhouses like the Steelers and Ravens re-emerge.  But i think, overall, that the NFC has at least the top 2 teams, at this point, in Seattle and the 49er's and I would put the Packers over any team in the AFC, so maybe the top 3 teams are in the same conference.  Anyway, if we know anything about the NFL, it is that seldom do things go as expected.  Actually, I think there were allot more who picked the Superbowl teams, during the preseason, than in past years.  It's been awhile since the two top seeds actually met in the big game.  Will it happen next season?  If I were a betting man, I would bet against it happening.

mugect
mugect

Does anyone know what Seattle's odds were a year ago?

CousinVinny75
CousinVinny75

Seahawks Haters are hilarious. Do people realize that the Seahawks got the #1 seed basically without Percy Harvin the entire year? Same for Sidney Rice. With if Harvin plays a full season or even 3/4 of one? What if SIdney Rice returns or they even get an upgrade over him? Not to mention 4/5 of their Oline missed significant time this year as well.

The idea that the youngest team to ever win a Super Bowl, that was plagued by several injuries this year, has peaked is wishful thinking by the rest of the NFL

And I'm not even a Seahawks fan


Pat11
Pat11

Seattle fans should enjoy their championship year but dont expect fans from Pittsburg, Greenbay, Dallas, Boston, San Fran, New York, Oakland, Washington or Denver who have more superbowl wins than Seattle to be in awe of them or think that they just saw the best team ever. People saw a Broncos team make mistakes that helped a team that didnt need any help win a championship.

CALI_DREAMING
CALI_DREAMING

I rooted for the Seahawks (Pete Carroll fan) and wouold love to see them repeat, but the 49'ers are not going away. 

Kingfink1
Kingfink1

Unlike the Ravens last year, or the Giants before them, the Seahawks won't lose most of their starters in free agency this year. I'm surprised the Ravens even did as well as they did, losing Ray Lewis, Ed Reed, Danell Ellerbe, Anquan Boldin, and then making the critical mistake of paying an average QB top-QB money. The most recent comparable team was probably the Packers three years ago, and they went 15-1 the next season (though, they did lose in the playoffs obviously). 


As a Seahawks fan, I'm not too concerned (always nervous, but I don't have to work too hard to convince myself they'll be good next year). We'll have Harvin for a full season (knock on wood), won't lose any critical parts, can probably dump Sidney Rice, Breno Giacomini perhaps,  and maybe Zach Miller to free up a ton of cap space and maybe be able to retain Bennett. The truth is, many of the Hawks highest paid players right now are not their best players. And John Schneider is the best drafter in the NFL, so we hopefully will continue to find those late-round gems.


I think the Hawks have a decent shot (as the odds suggest, which is kind of a useless number, because it's mostly based on ordinary people betting as such).

riley8
riley8

The odds are 1:1 that the Superbowl champion from 15 minutes ago will be the odds on favorite to win the next 10 Superbowls.  How did the Ravens do in the playoffs this year?

friendly--neighborhood--scrawler
friendly--neighborhood--scrawler

Typical media bull bleep... Just because an overrated Manning soiled himself on national TV that doesnt make the Hawks the favs... The 49ers was on Colin throw away from beating this team. and i am sure a few other teams have somethig to say about this. I am not sure why the Pats, Saints and Denver are ranked so high... when you over pay a QB your team suffers in other areas.

Vinny Cordoba
Vinny Cordoba

Too bad SuperCam and the Panthers will be playing in the Super Bowl instead.

Cool
Cool

Just like clockwork.. every year, the day after the game is played, sports writers declare the winner of this years Super Bowl their favorite to win it all next year.

WSUCougar
WSUCougar

Don't you mean the 2015 game?  The 2014 game was played yesterday...

CobyPreimesberger
CobyPreimesberger

well 3 guys that may look to redo there contracts and iff not the seahawks still get them for cheap this year, but after this year will be seeking bigger contracts, earl thomas, russell okung and oh yeah 5th round draft pick richard sherman, and also they will have to deal with russel wilson's contract in 2 years

matthewmhunter
matthewmhunter

let's hope salary cap and free agency poaching of Seattle's coaches and players equal a quick demise for Seattle.

True Fan
True Fan

Still less than 1 in 4 chance so those of you who don't understand odds do a little research. It's the starting point for betting. It just rates the teams in comparison to each other.

CousinVinny75
CousinVinny75

Texas get Clowney across from JJ Watt and I like their odds if they got a sleeper QB in the draft or if Michael Vick has one more season left in the tank

btcvsolo
btcvsolo

Yikes....really?!


I mean I know they were good last night, but....really?!

Steve102
Steve102

No matter how good and young the team is, it is so hard to repeat in the NFL. You cannot just assume the Seahawks are assuredly going back. 

RescuedfromESPN
RescuedfromESPN

San Francisco will be stronger, cardinals are on the rise, packers will have rodgers back for the whole year, Carolina will have another year of experience under their belts, Denver will be back, New England is always dangerous, and Indy is rising. It's going to be a tall order, but Seattle has shown they're up to it. Only time will tell.

Blargh
Blargh

@Pat11  You think anybody in Seattle gives a rip about what fans in those cities thought?  Maybe fans in those cities should work on winning a current title instead of living in the past.  I don't want to hear about what SF did in 1995.  Don't care.

duckfan59
duckfan59

@Pat11 Some of those "mistakes" they made were caused  by the Seahawks.

Pat11
Pat11

Opps forgot Baltimore and Miami.

Sportsfan18
Sportsfan18

@riley8  The Seahawks will be good next season.  Wilson's 4 yr contract ONLY pays him $2.996 million total over the four years.


When his salary goes up from like $1 million to at least $15 million a season, the $14 million has to be taken AWAY from other players (renegotiate some down, cut others, not resign others and then sign MUCH cheaper players).


The Seahawks also have said they want to resign Kam Chancellor who is under contract for next season and then a free agent.


Again, they should be very good next season.  It will begin to get more difficult for them soon after that though...

Kingfink1
Kingfink1

@riley8, if the Seahawks lost like 10 of their starters from this season, that might be a decent comparison.

Kingfink1
Kingfink1

@friendly--neighborhood--scrawler, on that overpaying QBs... You're gonna be SO HAPPY when Kap gets to the end of his rookie contract. He will want at least 15 million a year. Good Luck Niners!

JoeCabot
JoeCabot

@Cool   Maybe you were too busy preparing your witty post to take time to read the article, but, in summation, this was not a writer declaring a favorite, but was, in fact, an article about the odds posted in Vegas.  And yes, Vegas does take action on the NFL all year long.

Kingfink1
Kingfink1

@WSUCougar, poorly worded, but I suppose they could be referring to the season as a whole. Not disagreeing, just trying to see both ways here.

j7apple
j7apple

@CobyPreimesberger  They will "want" to deal with Wilsons contract in 1 year, which is allowed under Collective Bargaining. I am quite sure they don't want a free agent QB on their hands at the end of 4.

MartyballBlutarsky
MartyballBlutarsky

@matthewmhunter I just don't see that happening. At least, as long as GM John Schneider is around.  Hands down the best organization at finding gems in late draft rounds or grabbing undrafted free agents that fit into their schemes and culture.   I'm sure they will pay Russel Wilson a hefty chunk of change in a couple years but Schneider and Carroll will continue to fill the shoes of non franchise with affordable up and comers and players simply know it is a place they would like to play.  Get used to seeing the Seattle Seahawks in the coming years.  As Vernon Davis said about the Seattle Seahawks "They are building a dynasty over there". 

Grand_80
Grand_80

@matthewmhunter Well considering the most costly position they have is currently being paid 600k. So it will be a quick demise.

Mel
Mel

@CousinVinny75 Vick? A super bowl qb? LOLOL yeah okay. They'd be better off dredging up Vince Young or Tebow. Vick was never a great qb to begin with. Take his speed out of the equation and he sucks.

JoeCabot
JoeCabot

@btcvsolo Yep, and undoubtedly they got some action on Seattle already from some fans caught up in the moment, with a pretty good chance that they will get to keep it all.

True Fan
True Fan

@btcvsolo  Yes really. That's the way it works at this time of year. 

riley8
riley8

@Sportsfan18 @riley8  We will see.  Don't discount the unforseens such as injuries.  Their schedule will be brutal next year.  They might not even win their own division.

Joebuckster
Joebuckster

@MartyballBlutarsky @matthewmhunter  Drafting is mostly luck. Everyone was crowning Scott Pioli a drafting genius when the Pats were cheating Super Bowls, and look what happened to his career. The Hawks won't win for a couple of reasons - injuries, lucky bounces, player turnover/cap issues, and other emerging teams (Niners almost beat them at HOME). Winning in the playoffs are all about matchups, too. I won't even mention the 'desire' factor (hangover) after a first win. That's why it rarely happens - it takes too much luck to win a Super Bowl, and the best team (or QB) doesn't always win (see Ravens 2 years ago). 

Kingfink1
Kingfink1

@MartyballBlutarsky @matthewmhunter, maybe it's wishful thinking, but I hope Wilson doesn't hold out to get huge money. He's a great QB, but he's probably never going to put up huge numbers. I hope he values championships more than his own cash, in other words.

Kingfink1
Kingfink1

@Grand_80 @matthewmhunter, not for at least another year. Plus, if the Hawks get rid of Sidney Rice, Zach Miller (two of their highest paid players, combined $15,300,000 this year), then they can probably lock up some of those guys. Plus, maybe they'll just keep doing it. Maybe Sherman or some other "critical piece" will leave, just to be replaced by an over achieving fifth round draft pick. I wouldn't hole your breath.

CousinVinny75
CousinVinny75

@Mel @CousinVinny75 But the thing is you CANT take his speed out the equation. Vick at 34 probably still runs a 4.5 flat 

Texans would have an ELITE defense with Clowney and Watt.  

Not to mention they have Foster and Andre Johnson. 

You don't need QB putting up Peyton Manning numbers to win a Super Bowl 

Joebuckster
Joebuckster

@CousinVinny75 @Mel  I guess that's why he's looking for a job, you know, because he's 'The Answer'... Michael Vick, the missing piece in a Super Bowl run - HILARIOUS!!!

Kingfink1
Kingfink1

@CousinVinny75 @Mel, LOL, do you really believe Vick is a championship caliber QB?! You can think about your decision to sign him as he spends half the season out with injuries and the other half throwing picks and fumbling the ball away.