Posted January 21, 2014

Super Bowl XLVIII odds: Denver Broncos open as favorite over Seattle Seahawks

Denver Broncos, Seattle Seahawks, Super Bowl XLVIII
Will the Broncos' record-setting offense give them the edge against the Seahawks?

Will the Broncos’ record-setting offense give them the edge against the Seahawks? (Rod Mar/SI)

The Denver Broncos are your Super Bowl XLVIII favorites … at least for now.

The Seattle Seahawks actually opened with a slight edge in the betting line, but the action quickly swung in Denver’s favor once the NFC championship wrapped. According to R.J. Bell of Pregame.com and Grantland, the Broncos were a two-point favorite on average as of about 10:30 p.m. ET Sunday, with that number pushing even further north at a couple of spots.

More from Bell:

Bovada.LV was showing the Broncos as a 1.5-point favorite, with an over/under of 47.5, though both lines were still officially off the board an hour after the Seahawks solidified the Super Bowl matchup.

The Broncos have made six appearances in the Super Bowl, with wins in their past two (1998 and ’99). The Seahawks’ lone trip to the Super Bowl came in 2005, when they lost to the Pittsburgh Steelers. These two teams have not met since Sept. 19, 2010 — a 31-14 Denver win with Kyle Orton quarterbacking the Broncos and Matt Hasselbeck under center for the Seahawks.

73 comments
TheBigGumbo
TheBigGumbo

Sherman will shut down Thomas

Byron Maxwell will shut down Welker

Kam Chancellor or Earl Thomas will shut down Decker


Who will Peyton throw to?


The Bronco's may have been able to handle Blount, but Blount is no Marshawn Lynch.



Tyrelle
Tyrelle

Hawks Offense wont be able to keep up with Denvers precise ball control and scoring..No matter how good their defense is...unless they are pick sixing Manning every drive...they stand virtually no chance. All the turnovers are generated in between 3 guys.......number 2, number 26, and number 56 on the leader board...but if they get no help from their offense, it means nothing. Not to mention, Denver leads the world offensively.....The barely escaped the 49ers only because of that brain fart Kap had on that horribly thrown ball. This Super Bowl wont be that close. I call it now....It will be over by the end of the 3rd quarter.

BibleBill
BibleBill

Hey Bumbles Ryan Belicheck was in the playoffs this year! Where was Bumbles...in Hoboken ,NJ waiting on trollop Jane

BibleBill
BibleBill

If the Jets had played Tim Tebow they would have been in the playoffs but Bumbles Ryan is a dufas and refused to play a winning quarterback. Hey Bumbles Ryan you gonna win 4 games next year? Ja! Ja! Ja!

medrano881
medrano881

@mech

Yea broncos back up QB is going to get ready because they are going to blow away the she hawks that manning wont need to play the 4th quarter.

Mech
Mech

I hope Denver has their backup QB ready for this game because Manning is in no physical condition to withstand a barrage of 300lb linemen jumping on his back. That's exactly what is gonna happen. Nobody has put pressure on Manning like we will and he with all due respect to his career, he cannot now withstand that kind of punishment.

friendly--neighborhood--scrawler
friendly--neighborhood--scrawler

Is this A joke? Manning has never faced a defense of this caliber in the playoffs and we all know how Mannings playoff career has been.  Who would have faith in any QB that throws a wobbling football against an tough seattle defense.. put the house on Seattle scoring on defense and turning over Manning a few times... and let the post games excuses start for Manning as to why his team didnt do enough to win....

efrankv
efrankv

The Seahawks have not faced a team like Denver with all those offensive weapons.    Their defense and mediocre QB are not going to be enough.  

EdyneoantRoyalCastle
EdyneoantRoyalCastle

WoW don't jump the gun on Cheap Shot Denver in Winning the Superbowl over the Real Winner in Seattle ?Football is all About Smash Mouth ,Grindinging,Hit them high ,hit them low ,and hit them often when you are on the Grid Iron ? You must bring game and if i was denver ,i will watch out for a much faster Seahawks team and The singing it and will bring it to the game in that of Richard Sherman to which is what brings hype to the game ? We seen this type of action in the past like T.Owens ,C.Barkley,Ali just to name a few .If we want to talk dirty then Wes Welker's cheap hit on Aqib Talib is far worse than Richard Sherman calling out a team member of the team they just beat in the 49ers WR Crabtree in Celebrating his Victory on going to the Superbowl ,Sherman won out and Crabtree did not ? Not only do i hope denver loses to SEATTLE in the Superbowl ,but i hope they get Crushed and Peyton manning & Wes Suffers serious Injuries in the Superbowl ?I HATE The Broncos & peyton manninig to death ,go SEAHAWKS and give that JAVA JOLT and CRUSH that Orange out of denver in the Superbowl?

EJ1
EJ1

Fact:  Denver scored 26 points against a significantly inferior NE defense.


Fact:  Seattle scored 23 points against a significantly superior SF defense.


And Denver's favored?  


By this metric, Seattle should win by at least 10.

AZCardinalsBeatSea
AZCardinalsBeatSea

AZ Cardinals beat both Superbowl teams this year! Broncos and Seahawks.. R.J. Bell -Do your homework! Super bowl matchup 2014-two teams haven't met since sept 9, 2010? Seahawks beat broncos 40-10 week 2 of this season. Were do you get your stats RJ bell? Seattle wins bowl easy 38-23.... Hahahaha

KristianColasacco
KristianColasacco

I hope Denver wins because Seattle's fans behave like the nouveau riche while Denver's don't act like this is the first year that their team's ever been good.  

BlueZoo
BlueZoo

Defenses may win games, and Seattle has a great defense, but Denver isn't exactly chopped liver in that department either!  C'mon, Peyton!  Match Eli's two rings and retire on top as perhaps the greatest of them all!  OMAHA!

9yanks7
9yanks7

 After that ridiculous gangster display post game by Sherman, I hope Denver destroys Seattle.

DanTavern
DanTavern

I'm a Jaguars fan who is pulling for the Seahawks, but I think the line favoring the Broncos is fine. In the end, it doesn't matter. It's who's got their mojo in full gear. 

Manning is a great qb, but it's important to realize the Broncos O is loaded: the best O-line, Decker, Thomas, Welker, J. Thomas, Moreno, and Ball. (I couldn't believe the Jaguars passed on Ball.) It should be a fascinating irresistible force/immovable object matchup with, for me, Wilson and the respective O-lines the keys. If Wilson runs an option attack, roams and runs decisively, he can be the straw that breaks the camel's back. Though they have played well recently, I believe the Broncos D to be vulnerable. Plus, we have to factor in the weather and field conditions. Hopefully, the game will be a lot of fun.

Steve Phillips
Steve Phillips

After Sherman's antics and lack of respect for the game and other NFL players I hope Peyton goes off for 7-8 touchdowns and it is 56-0!

Kopernicus1967
Kopernicus1967

Seahawks have a great team and deserve to be there.


But Peyton is just smarter and more accurate; Seattle's crowd will not be a factor.


Hopefully it will be the best of both worlds and give a good defensive battle in the first half and the scoreboard light up in the second half.  


I'd go 35-31 Denver.

marsh025
marsh025

will this be the 420 super bowl?

The two states with legalized MJ goes to the super bowl.

Maybe we all should take notes.

ElvisHitler
ElvisHitler

Well no kidding, Denver is by far the better team.

MichaelHines
MichaelHines

@medrano881 I'm glad the Broncos are favored. My prediction 21 Denver 28 Seahawks. The Broncos D will be a break for a team that has faced top 10 defenses all season. The only real defense Peyton has played is KC and they seem overated.

Rocksteady1986
Rocksteady1986

@Mech Every week the idiot fans from the Broncos' opponent says Manning won't make it through the game, and every week Brock Osweiler watches Manning be brilliant.

RSpreier
RSpreier

@Mech They won't even get close to him. He'll run them all over hell and by the 3rd Quarter they will be done.

MichaelHines
MichaelHines

@friendly--neighborhood--scrawler I agree. I'm glad the Broncos are favored though. It's better to be the underdog. All the pressure is on Manning. Seattle will have a tough time getting a sack because Manning gets rid of the ball quick but I believe the D will rise up. 28 Seattle 21 Broncos.

TheRealKubo
TheRealKubo

@friendly--neighborhood--scrawler The Seattle defense hasn't faced an offense of this caliber either. As good as Seattle's D is perceived to be this season, you know how many teams they have played that were in the Top 10 in points scored per game over the course of the season? One. #10, New Orleans. The other offensive powerhouses that Seattle has built their defensive reputation are #28 (NYG), #30 (Tampa), #31 (Houston), and #32 (Jacksonville). Do I think that Seattle's defense is legit? Of course. That said, do I think Seattle is about to get points dropped on it from an offense they haven't even sniffed all season? Oh yes.


Have you watched Manning play against aggressive defenses in the past at all? Look up his numbers against the blitz or a fast past rush. The number of receivers on Denver's O that can be checked down to is insane. Expect a lot of 5-10 yard out routes and slants over the middle to go for 10-15 more YAC.

Put the house on Seattle and you're probably losing your house.

Rocksteady1986
Rocksteady1986

@EJ1 You can't face Denver's postseason offense (which has actually been brilliant, considering they have finished both postseason games by kneeling the ball well within field goal range) and Denver's regular season defense.

Stop skewing the data in your favor.  You can't have it both ways.  If you want to place emphasis on the postseason, then the Broncos have been more dominant in their wins and the defense is every bit as good as the Seahawks'.  If you want to place emphasis on the regular season, then you are facing the unquestioned greatest offense of all time.

Rocksteady1986
Rocksteady1986

@EJ1 Fact: Denver allowed 16 points against a significantly superior NE offense.


Fact: Seattle allowed 17 points against a significantly inferior SF offense.


And Denver's favored.


By this metric, Denver should win by at least 10.

anon76
anon76

@EJ1 

Fact:  Denver's D allowed 289.5 yards/game in 2 playoff games, facing two offenses that averaged 389 yards/game in the regular season


Fact:  Seattle's D allowed 358.5 yards/game in 2 playoff games, facing two offenses that averaged 362 yards/game in the regular season


Fact:  The Broncos offense has punted one time 16 postseason possessions, and scored or kneeled to win on 12 of 16 possessions.


Fact:  The Seattle offense has punted 8 times and turned the ball over on downs twice in 22 offensive possessions, while only scoring or kneeling to kill the clock 11 times.


In other words, the Broncos Defense has played better against better competition, while the Broncos offense has been as efficient at generating scoring drives as any offense in NFL history.  Those trends may change in the SB, but if I was putting money down based on playoff performance, I know which team I'd be backing.

Pat11
Pat11

@EJ1Thats reasonable logic. Go to Vegas and get rich with it, let us know how much you made in a couple of weeks.

leehwgoc
leehwgoc

@AZCardinalsBeatSea The Broncos didn't play the Cardinals or Seahawks in the regular season this year.  You really don't know what you're talking about.

9yanks7
9yanks7

@Steve Phillips You can take the gangster out of the hood, but you can't take the hood out of the gangster.

Arthur7
Arthur7

@Kopernicus1967 


Peyton makes his deep throws into zone coverage, short throws depend on route timing.


LOB takes away deep throws, front 7 disrupts receiver release, upsets timing on short game.


It's not going to be anywhere near as high scoring as you think, look at Denver scores in the two playoff games.

Arthur7
Arthur7

@ElvisHitler 


That must be why they're favored by all of 2 pts.


We'll see if that changes if Harvin is back in practice.

Mech
Mech

@Rocksteady1986@Mech How could we possibly expect to win against such an unstoppable force ??   HAAAAhahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha

Mech
Mech

@RSpreier@Mech Manning is no Kaepernick,,,, his running is more like fast walking. He is a pocket passer and he will live or die in the pocket.

JamesBenton
JamesBenton

Fact there IS no better competition ....Fact: Denver hasn't played Seattle in the superbowl yet......

cronotose
cronotose

@Arthur7 @Kopernicus1967 Arthur speaks the truth. The "unstoppable offense" of Denver scored a whopping 3 points more than the "weak offense" of the Seahawks, and Broncos weren't playing against the NFL's top passing defense which they will be now. The Seahawks' Defense is designed from top to bottom to defend against the Bronco's style of play. Not saying the Broncos won't win but it is in no way a lock or a high point shootout matchup.



While it was only a preseason game and Denver is sure to do much better, the Seattle blowout over Denver at the beginning of the season shows Manning has no walk in the park on the LOB.

anon76
anon76

@Mech @RSpreier 


Manning's O-line is significantly better than Kaepernick's, the best in the league by some margin.  Even with all the passing Denver did, they still gave up the least sacks in the league.  Also, only Buffalo gave up less hurries (on 100 less passing attempts), and the Broncos only gave up the 8th most QB hits in the league, both of which translate to top 3 in those categories when adjusted for # of QB drop backs.

The best O-line that the Seahawks played against all year was the Saints (ranked 8 spots lower than the Broncos at #9), and in those two games Seattle managed only 2 sacks total.  In fact, those were the only games against a top 10 O-line that the Seahawks played against.  The Broncos played 3 games against top 10 D-lines, and in those games they gave up only 1 sack and 9 hurries in 117 drop backs.


On the other hand, Denver's D gets pressure on the QB at the 5th highest rate in the league, while Seattle's O-line is the worst in the league by some margin.

On the season the Seahawks played 6 games against teams in the top 7 in bringing QB pressure.  In those 6 games Wilson was sacked 25 times, had 47 more QB hits, posted a 91.3 passer rating (10 points below his season average), and the offense only put up 20 points per game (6 points below the season average).


Let's just say that the line play favors the Broncos in this one.

Rocksteady1986
Rocksteady1986

@JamesBenton You completely misunderstood the entire point of his post and followed it up with a vacuous statement.

anon76
anon76

@cronotose @Arthur7 @Kopernicus1967 


The "strong" offense of Denver scored 3.6 points per offensive possession, mostly while driving the length of the field.  The "weak" offense of Seattle scored 2.2 points per offensive possession, oftentimes having short fields due to boneheaded plays by the opponents offense/special teams.


And yes, preseason games don't matter.  If they did, then the fact that Peyton had a 122 passer rating and was throwing for 10 yards/attempt against the "legion of boom" would not auger well for the Seahawks.

Pat11
Pat11

@cronotose@Arthur7@Kopernicus1967If you had watched Denvers game you would of noticed they had a comfortable lead most of the game and ran conservative run plays and short passes to use the clock. Peyton wasnt even looking downfield most of the game.