Posted October 23, 2013

Mock GM: Jared Allen to Patriots, more deals that should happen before deadline

AFC North, AFC South, Mock GM, NFC East, NFC North
Jared Allen is set to be a free agent this spring after six seasons in Minnesota.

Jared Allen is set to be a free agent this spring after six seasons in Minnesota. (Matt Dunham/AP)

Chris Burke and Doug Farrar take on the roles of NFL general managers in Mock GM, as they work on speculative wheeling and dealing …

Trade 1: Fred Davis to the Chicago Bears for a conditional 2014 sixth-round pick.

Washington’s GM reacts (Chris Burke): Quite frankly, it was time for both sides to go their separate ways. Davis was a terrific player in Washington for a couple of seasons, but Jordan Reed’s emergence has really phased him out of the gameplan. Sitting him on the bench or scratching him from the active roster each week really does not do much for us — and it certainly does not help Davis get his career back on track.

If Davis sees fairly regular playing time in Chicago for the rest of the season, we’ll happily take a sixth-rounder. If they cannot find use for him, either, we’ll settle for getting a seventh-rounder, as opposed to losing Davis this offseason.

Chicago’s GM reacts (Doug Farrar): We’re a bit balky about Davis’ injury history, though with Josh McCown at quarterback over at least the next four weeks, any short-target port in a storm will help. And if Davis gets hurt again, it’s not a costly gamble, as he’s got a $1 million base salary this year and will be a free agent in 2014. The conditional six-rounder makes this a deal.


Trade 2: Justin Blackmon to the Baltimore Ravens for a third-round pick

Jacksonville’s GM reacts (Farrar): This week, our team’s owner, Shad Khan, said that he wished he’d blown things up before he did to make the Jags a viable NFL team. To that end, we’re blowing it up now by offering up skill players who can have positive effects on other teams in exchange for the draft picks we’ll need to rebuild. Moving Justin to the Ravens for a third-round pick helps both teams. Justin is a high-volume receiver when he’s not dealing with injuries or suspensions, and the 3-4 Ravens need another weapon in their passing game. Torrey Smith currently ranks seventh in Football Outsiders’ efficiency metrics, and he’s a great speed receiver, but after that, it’s slim pickings. Marlon Brown is second on the team, ranking 47th in those same metrics.

The Ravens are spackling things together with Dallas Clark, Brandon Stokley and Tandon Doss. It’s clear that Baltimore wants the passing game to be the focus of its offense (judging from Ray Rice’s appearance on multiple milk cartons in recent weeks), and to do that, the Ravens must have a guy who can make the contested catch underneath and make things happen after the catch. For all his off-field issues, Blackmon is that type of receiver — and he could be the difference for a Ravens team that is now looking up at the 5-2 Cincinnati Bengals in the AFC North.

Baltimore’s GM reacts (Burke): We had to do something. That’s not to say that trading for Blackmon is a desperation move or one that we fired off without thinking, but without getting our offense going this season will be lost.

Hitting the gas there is not going to happen without the run game. Here’s the thing: We’ve really done all we can, personnel-wise, from that perspective: Ray Rice and Bernard Pierce have to pick up the pace, and our offensive line needs to find its footing. Where there was room to improve was at the receiver spot, and it’s somewhere we looked throughout the preseason and early portions of the regular season. Justin Blackmon is the type of player that you do not get the opportunity to add all that often.

We’re well aware of his off-field issues and that four-game suspension. We also know, as most of the rest of the NFL does after seeing him the past few weeks, what he is capable of on the field. Teams would have to choose between paying extra attention to him or Torrey Smith — the other one, we feel, could win one-on-one battles. This may not solve all the offensive issues around here, but it should help dramatically.


Trade 3: Jared Allen to the Patriots for a 2014 second-round pick and 2015 third-round pick.

Minnesota’s GM reacts (Burke): We committed more than $70 million to Allen on his last contract. Given that he looks more and more likely to test the free-agent market at the end of this season, getting out from even a little bit of that money is a benefit. Plus, in securing a pair of picks, we up anything that may have come back to us in compensatory choices.

Our fans will see this as waving the white flag on the 2013 season. While we would never do that, clearly this year has not started as we anticipated. It’s important to try to lay the groundwork for a recovery in 2014 and beyond — regardless of who comes and goes in the meantime. Shipping out Allen is a very difficult move for us, and for our fan base, but one that should help with that long-term process.

New England’s’ GM reacts (Farrar): With all due respect to Mr. Allen’s prolific pass pressure, he’s at the age where most speed rushers tend to plummet like dead parrots. And though he will be a free agent in 2014, giving up a second-round pick next year and a third-rounder the year after — not to mention taking on more than half of his $14.28 million salary in 2013 — is a bit rich for a team in obvious need of draft collateral to fill other positions in the near future. Now, if you wanted to offer Allen for a third-rounder in 2014 and a fifth-rounder in 2015, we can talk turkey.

41 comments
Scott Johnson1
Scott Johnson1

Why in the world would the Bears go after Fred Davis? We need defensive help, not a backup TE that will never see the field. Also, any GM that gives up a player as talented as Blackmon for a 3rd round pick should be fired immediately.

PaulWonSavage
PaulWonSavage

Burke and Farrrrrrrarrrrrrr, really lost it on this one. Trading Allen for a 2nd a 5th... EVERY team in the NFL would make that one-sided deal. More like 2 1sts or a 1st and a 2nd. Giving up anything for Fred Davis is ludicrous.  If a GM made that deal, they should be fired immediately and have their head check for concussion related issue. And blackmon for less than a 2nd plus..... I just can't go on....

George
George

I get tired of Jared Allen's goofy "spaz" sack dance

just sayin'

JerryL.Miller
JerryL.Miller

Shouldn't the Packers be looking for receivers?

Jim21
Jim21

Julius Peppers to the Falcons for a 4th and 5th rounder. He might be just enough to turn their season around. 

AbdulB
AbdulB

Matt Schaub to Rams for a 3rd rounder

Bam007
Bam007

What about Blackmon to the Colts for a draft pick, now that they are without Wayne?

atepper001
atepper001

this is arguably the worst mock write up i have ever seen. jags need a ton and they would part with a very good young receiver who already received his signing bonus for a 3rd, really? the bears are getting torched on D, that is what they need to trade for if they were to trade, specifically big bodies on the interior D line. and allen to the pats after they just signed a DE isn't going to happen. if anything, the pats will hold on D and look for a WR to fill in for glassandola every other week and / or stone hands mcgee and his sidekick aaron dropson.

MMoney0021
MMoney0021

Allen to the Pats for a third round pick and a late round pick the year after seems fair to me and I would welcome it.  But he could walk after this season.  So no way are they giving a second round pick but he would fit a glaring need.  They should consider bringing in Jay Ratliff for a tryout now that he is medically cleared to go.

BillThomas
BillThomas

Blackmon is young and fits into the Jags rebuild.  No way they would sniff this without a 1st in return..  And no the Jags do not ever need to sign Tebow.  We already have two QB's who can't throw well why would we need a third? 

GTT
GTT

After spending a first rounder on Blackmon, I'm not taking just a third round pick for him. There has to be multiple picks and one of them should be a second rounder.

gary41
gary41

Like the discussion.  The only way a top receiver goes is because of off field issues.  In the draft when picked as #1-2 they must step in, but very often that is not the case.  So finding a top receiver is not so easy.  The notion that a top QB can make do with ordinary receivers is nonsense, borne by looking at what happens to some of these top QB's who find themselves lacking familiar talent.  Top receivers are way under rated, so like top QB's a lot is done to keep them.    

jhymas25
jhymas25

None of these trades make much sense... The Patriots defense has been quite good this year, what they really need is more reliable receivers. Although I think this trade is the best of the bunch.

The Bears need help on defense, particularly the d-line. They have zero pass rush right now. They don't need another pass catcher; with the emergence of Jeffery they have four legit targets (Jeffery, Marshall, Bennett, and Forte). 

I can't see the Jaguars giving up arguably their best player - who is young enough to be a solid rebuilding piece - for only a third rounder, unless they are very worried about future suspensions. Seems the least likely of the trade scenarios proposed. (Watch this one happen now)

Maybe the Bears should trade for Allen and the Patriots get a second tight end in Davis. That seems like better options to me... 

Akarik
Akarik

People have a lot of problems with a short "what if" piece on a blog designed for quick fire content.

AllanGray
AllanGray

I think the Jaguars should trade J Blackmon to the Ravens for 15,000 fans to fill they're empty seats each home game. Can I get a writing gig SI? 

Joebuckster
Joebuckster

Clearly there aren't enough quality people in journalism to allow this crap to be offered with a straight face, on a major publication's website. Maybe if they paid writers more, people with actual talent might emerge from 'real jobs' to displace these charlatans. Pathetic.

AllanGray
AllanGray

It took two dudes to come up with this? Yeah, BB is going to trade a second round pick for 8 games and playoffs of Jared Allen @ 32.

EricFuhrer
EricFuhrer

Who let the monkeys out of their cage to type this tripe?

metalhead65
metalhead65

the bears do not need a tight end, they have bennent. what they need is help on defense. not even a 7th rounder for this guy.

WardMorford
WardMorford

I'm fully with the preview posts. Why would we, Jacksonville that is, trade last years 1st round pick for a 3rd round pick now? Off the field issues aside, the man is one of the few pieces we already have in place for the future. 

PeachtreeBart
PeachtreeBart

Rebuilding doesn't mean getting rid of your best player.  Inane.  

JimWade
JimWade

We spend a top 5 pick after trading up on blackmon...and you think we trade him for a third? That is an awful awful awful suggestion. Whoever wrote this has to be a Ravens fanboy.

destrilogy
destrilogy

Justin Blackmon for a 3rd round picks makes absolutely no sense seeing that he was a top 5 pick 2 years ago and he is a good player. No 3rd round pick is going to be Justin Blackmon. As the jaguars you build with Justin Blackmon, Now keeping Maurice Jones Drew is another story. 

RomarioDelLago
RomarioDelLago

Vikings would be idiotic to trade Allen for what the article imagines the Patriots' GM would want.  Sorry Pats, not gonna happen.  Kind of a dumb suggestion, anyway.  


RamseyKrull
RamseyKrull

what about getting petterson out of purgatory too... 

MattWheaton
MattWheaton

are you an idiot? moving blackmon is the worst thing the Jags could possibly do to rebuild aside from not drafting a quarterback next year. This is only his second year in the league so he's young enough to build on with the rebuild. If the jags are gonna move anybody, move Babin for like a 5th or 6th round pick. He's old and he's taking reps away from Andre Branch. plus he clears some cap room. 

Kalzy
Kalzy

Move the overrated Allen. Vikes fan gives it a thumbs up

BlackSession1
BlackSession1

@PaulWonSavage No GM in his right mind would give up one 1st, let alone two, for a pass rush specialist [albeit, one who is very proficient] who is a free agent at the end of the year. Maybe you're the one that needs to have some concussion testing. 

PWINGS
PWINGS

@jhymas25    "....I can't see the Jaguars giving up arguably their best player - who is young enough to be a solid rebuilding piece - for only a third rounder, unless they are very worried about future suspensions....."

Bingo! Whether he has behavioral issues is no longer a matter of speculation for the Jags. They've had him for a year and a half. They've already had to deal with his attitude. They've already  been burned with a suspension. If they're not worried about future suspensions, they SHOULD be! If (when?) he gets suspended again, watch his value plummet. Pull the plug now!

Akarik
Akarik

@AllanGray 

It's a dialogue, the rebuttal was that he was in fact not worth a second rounder. 

PWINGS
PWINGS

@WardMorford   "....Off the field issues aside,...."

Say that the next time he gets suspended.

KenMoore
KenMoore

@RomarioDelLago Allen walks away at end of season anyway's think he is staying in Minn.. ? No way...! !  A 2nd rd plus a 3rd the next year for a possibility of just 8 games  No way in HELL do the Patriots even look that way for those draft picks. 

justsomeguy
justsomeguy

@MattWheaton The argument is basically that the jaguars are so bad, any talent you have now is basically just being wasted.  The team is years away from contention and he'll likely be gone by the time they get to that point.  If you get a pick back for him now and take a player who will contribute in 3-4 years, you're probably better off doing it even if that guy isn't as good as blackmon.  The theory at least makes sense.

In this particular case it still isn't a great idea because the pick in return is maybe a bit low, and the team is struggling with attendance and public perception as is.  This certainly wouldn't help either of those.

WardMorford
WardMorford

@MattWheaton  There was no QB worth taking last year.  The Jags did the right thing taking a O-Line player who's gonna be good for years. 

JagNative
JagNative

@MattWheaton We've been looking for a competent WR since Jimmy Smith 'retired' and we're going to trade away the first one that looks like he has talent. 

Sheesh, Burke's a bonehead.

sblake1016
sblake1016

 Moving 2nd year players is not necessarily a foolish idea (Trent Richardson)...Jags are going nowhere again, get more picks to go with a new QB

JimWade
JimWade

@sblake1016 Browns traded a first rounder for a first rounder. Blackmon is a better WR than Richardson is a RB. One of the dumbest trade ideas I have seen.